johnsmith said:
SethBullock said:
Squire said:
SethBullock said:
The goal was to take away the ground they controlled, which, at their height, was much of eastern Syria and virtually all of western Iraq. That goal has been achieved, and that is the victory.
It is unrealistic to expect that every last ISIS member could be killed, and clearly, terrorist cells will be an ongoing problem for the Syrians and Iraqis.
So Trump "took away the ground ISIS controlled" and they moved to the ground USA controls?
Wasn't the Pentagon bussing ISIS terrorists around Syria at one time?
ISIS evolved from Saudi Arabian jihad ideology and were financed and armed by Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states to destabilize Iraq.
The U.S. should never have involved itself with Syria's civil war. If the U.S. hadn't done that, we wouldn't need to ask what the U.S. did in Syria. What I do know is that the Obama administration gave weapons and support to what they believed (or purported to believe) were "pro-democracy rebels." This support undermined the Syrian government and helped to create a loss of governance over a broad area of Syria. In this power vacuum, ISIS was able organize and take territory. ISIS was originally an Iraqi Al Qaeda (AQI) organization.
The specifics of what the U.S. did or didn't do are somewhat shrouded in secrecy. But what we know is that the U.S. gave lethal assistance and thereby helped fuel the civil war. I personally do not think the U.S. gave arms to known AQ or ISIS groups, but in the chaos, there is no doubt whatsoever that some U.S. arms ended up in their possession.
Obama ran for a president on a platform that the Iraq War was wrong and that he would quickly pull our troops out of Iraq. So his decisions to destroy Libya and to fuel a civil war in Syria utterly baffle me, and I was totally against both from Day 1.
I completely support Trump's intent to remove our troops from Syria. Other than knocking down ISIS, we have no business in Syria. I agree that our withdrawal should include some security guarantees for the Kurds. But we are capable of enforcing that security without boots on the ground, and so our troops should be withdrawn as soon as possible.
Our job there is done. Our troops in the air and on the ground have accomplished their mission, and I have nothing but the highest respect for them. Now, bring 'em home.
I'd agree with all of that
also, I wonder how much of the reasoning for the US getting involved was to prevent the Russians gaining a foothold.
Gaining a foothold? They already had a foothold. They had had it for decades. They have a naval base on Syrian territory. They had friendly diplomatic relations. They have provided Syria with arms and advisors. This friendly cooperation between Syria and Russia had been the status quo for a long, long time, extending back to the 1950s/1960s era.
I think some of the strategic hawks in the U.S. government may have had dreams of a scenario wherein the Russians
lost their foothold in Syria. Among them would be Hillary Clinton of the Democratic Party and Lindsey Graham and John McCain of the Republican Party.
This is my opinion, but I don't think that hope was what motivated Obama.
No, I think Obama had a rosy belief (much like his predecessor did) that the people's of these Islamic countries would embrace democracy if only they were given a chance. You may recall that, shortly before the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq at the end of 2011, Iraq had been mostly pacified. The insurgency had been mostly broken, and there was relative peace. U.S. casualties were very low in that final year in Iraq. Iraq had a new Constitution that insured power sharing. People were voting. Remember the blue thumbs and happy faces of voters? There was optimism. Vice President Biden even crowed that Iraq represented a "great achievement" of the Obama administration.
Meanwhile, in 2011, the "Arab Spring" protests and uprisings were in full swing in Egypt. The Obama administration took a tacitly supportive position of the "Arab Spring" upheaval in Egypt and the resulting change of power to Morsi of the Muslim Brotherhood.
Concurrently, there was an uprising in Libya, and this time the U.S. took an active role, bombing the Libyan military relentlessly, until finally we dropped a guided missile on Gadaffi's motorcade, leading to his death.
And concurrently, the Syrian uprising began, and we know that the Obama administration lent diplomatic support, weapons, and training to the rebels, fueling that conflict.
John, what I believe is that Obama believed that all of these were noble uprisings with noble goals of freedom and democracy. I think he believed the people's of these areas were yearning to throw off the shackles of oppression and to enter into a new era of freedom, peace, tolerance, and prosperity. We know that Obama held a great respect for the religion of Islam and the goodness of the people's in Muslim countries. Early in his presidency he gave a long speech at the U.N. extolling that goodness, and he received a Nobel Peace Prize for giving that speech. So I don't think this was about Russia's foothold in Syria to Obama. The close relationship between Syria and Russia was simply coincidental, but his core belief was in the purity and legitimacy of these uprisings. Surely, his actions and statements back up that view.
Sadly, these idealistic beliefs have been obliterated by the events that have taken place since then in all of these countries. I regard his policy toward these uprisings as one of worst miscalculations of his presidency. And I think these core beliefs Obama held led him to make a huge flip-flop that he should never have made. A key part of his campaign when he first ran was that the Iraq War was wrong and a mistake, and he wanted to order a rapid withdrawal of our forces as soon as he was elected. And yet, as President, he did the things he did in Libya and Syria. I think that if he were completely honest and didn't let his pride get in the way, he would agree that his policies and actions in the middle east were failures. Unfortunately, in life, we cannot go back in time and get "do-overs". But I am confident that if Obama could go back in time with 20-20 hindsight, he would not repeat these mistakes he made. But we cannot do that, so the next best thing is to learn and not repeat the same old mistakes over and over.
Being patriotic, I wanted to be supportive of my country when we first invaded Iraq in 2003. My son fought there and was wounded. I wanted this to have a positive outcome. I hoped for it.
But we know how it all turned out, don't we? Democracy didn't last in Egypt. Libya is a lawless mess. Syria is a hellhole. The Shiite-led Iraqis persecuted the Sunnis, fecklessly paving the way for a takeover by ISIS, and Iraq was powerless to stop them until the U.S. interceded. And, as we speak, Afghanistan is gradually slipping away, back to the taliban.
What I learned from all of this is that in the future we need to defend ourselves and our closest allies
only. And, meanwhile, if these middle eastern countries want to have their wars and civil wars, that is their business, not ours. I learned that no matter how noble and benign our goals may be, we cannot overcome ancient sectarian hatreds that exist in these countries. I have learned that sectarian tribalism outweighs nationalism, tolerance, compromise, negotiation, and cooperation in these countries. Sadly, these countries have demonstrated that they may have peace and security when it is forced upon them at the point of a gun, either by their own dictator or a foreign power. But left to their own devices, peace, security, prosperity, and hope for the future simply all disintegrate into chaos and blood. That is a sad assessment, but I think it's an evidence-based assessment.
And so now, I want our people out of Syria. It saddens me that 4 Americans were killed in that damn country recently. I hope Trump brings 'em all home soon.
Seth